Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Over/Under projections for New York Jets' skill players

Photo credit: decker87.com
With training camp right around the corner and the only NFL props available relating to team wins and Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, there are no true statistical “expectations” set for Jets players. That means it’s time to take a stab at some potential projections, and whether to take the over or the under.

Geno Smith: 3,300 passing yards, 16 TD, 14 INT, 300 rushing yards

In his first two NFL seasons, Geno Smith has struggled to make the adjustment to the NFL. In 30 games, he’s thrown for 5,571 yards, 25 touchdowns and 34 interceptions, while adding 604 yards on the ground. As a result, it’s difficult to pin down exactly what to expect from Smith this season. He has a vastly improved set of skill players around him, as well as an offensive coordinator in Chan Gailey whose spread tendencies will play to Smith’s strengths, as he excelled in Dana Holgorsen’s wide-open offense at West Virginia.

On the other hand, Smith is entering a make-or-break season with a veteran behind him in Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick lacks the potential to take the Jets to the Super Bowl, but his steady hand and prior success under Gailey’s tutelage means that any long-term struggles from Smith could lead to a quarterback change. That makes it difficult to set a prop for Smith, despite the coaching staff already naming him the starter for the season opener.

Read the rest at Pro Football Spot

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