Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Daily Fantasy Basketball Strategy: January 27, 2016

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Normally a huge night for the NBA, Wednesday has “just” eight games on the schedule. While that may seem like a decent amount of games, most Wednesdays in the past have featured anywhere from 10 to 13 games, so eight is certainly a nice reprieve for somebody who goes through and projects the top eight players on every team in action like myself. There are lots of potential blowouts on this slate, so let’s take a look at which games Vegas projects to get out of hand. 


Vegas lines and totals

Phoenix @ Cleveland (-16.5) – total of 210.5
Denver @ Boston (-8.5) – total of 209.5
Philadelphia @ Detroit (-12) – total of 202
Houston @ San Antonio (-10) – total of 205.5
L.A. Clippers @ Atlanta (-3) – total of 207.5
Oklahoma City (-8) @ Minnesota – total of 210
Charlotte @ Utah (-5.5) – total of 191
Dallas @ Golden State (-15.5) – total of 215

With four games having double-digits spreads, six having spreads of eight or higher and one having an over/under 11 points lower than the next-closest game, Wednesday’s slate could get a little weird. You’re unlikely to be able to get away from rostering a few guys who may not play much in the fourth quarter, as Clippers-Hawks is the lone high-scoring game with a tight spread and even that one doesn’t have elite matchups for the studs of note. Who are the safest stars and value picks to target on a slate like this, when no game is seemingly safe?

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